Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Bosnia-Herzegovina | Qatar
Stats based on 4 match(es) for Bosnia-Herzegovina, 3 match(es) for Qatar
Our algorithm gives Bosnia-Herzegovina as the dominant scenario with 76% probability. Detail: Bosnia-Herzegovina win 76%, draw 12.13%, Qatar win 11.88%. Confidence index: 5.5/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.39), with an edge of +4.06% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 81.8% / Under 2.5: 18.2%. Expected xG: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3.20, Qatar 1.24.
BTTS Yes: 67.6%. Recent form: Bosnia-Herzegovina LWLD, Qatar LLD.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 5.5/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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