Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Bologna FC 1909 | SS Lazio
Stats based on 38 match(es) for Bologna FC 1909, 38 match(es) for SS Lazio
Our algorithm gives SS Lazio as the dominant scenario with 35.48% probability. Detail: Bologna FC 1909 win 30.54%, draw 33.98%, SS Lazio win 35.48%. Confidence index: 1.4/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 3.62), with an edge of +7.86% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 18.7% / Under 2.5: 81.3%. Expected xG: Bologna FC 1909 0.70, SS Lazio 0.78.
BTTS Yes: 25.8%. Recent form: Bologna FC 1909 , SS Lazio .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 1.4/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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