Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Australia | Turkey
Stats based on 4 match(es) for Australia, 3 match(es) for Turkey
Our algorithm gives Australia as the dominant scenario with 59.95% probability. Detail: Australia win 59.95%, draw 23.44%, Turkey win 16.61%. Confidence index: 3.0/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.77), with an edge of +3.45% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 35.4% / Under 2.5: 64.6%. Expected xG: Australia 1.50, Turkey 0.62.
BTTS Yes: 34.4%. Recent form: Australia DDLW, Turkey WLL.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.0/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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