Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Athletic Club
Sevilla FC
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Athletic Club | Sevilla FC
Stats based on 8 match(es) for Athletic Club, 0 match(es) for Sevilla FC
Our algorithm gives Athletic Club as the dominant scenario with 47.17% probability. Detail: Athletic Club win 47.17%, draw 22.32%, Sevilla FC win 30.51%. Confidence index: 3.4/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 6.00), with an edge of +13.84% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 51.2% / Under 2.5: 48.8%. Expected xG: Athletic Club 1.55, Sevilla FC 1.18.
BTTS Yes: 53.1%. Recent form: Athletic Club LWDDL, Sevilla FC .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 3.4/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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