Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Arsenal FC
Coventry City FC
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Arsenal FC | Coventry City FC
Stats based on 10 match(es) for Arsenal FC, 0 match(es) for Coventry City FC
Our algorithm gives Arsenal FC as the dominant scenario with 79.51% probability. Detail: Arsenal FC win 79.51%, draw 12.37%, Coventry City FC win 8.11%. Confidence index: 6.5/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 2 Extérieur (odds 16.05), with an edge of +1.88% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 63.2% / Under 2.5: 36.8%. Expected xG: Arsenal FC 2.60, Coventry City FC 0.67.
BTTS Yes: 44.2%. Recent form: Arsenal FC DWDDW, Coventry City FC .
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 6.5/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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