Based on goals, clean sheets and form of the last 10 matches
Argentina
Probabilities calculated by bivariate Poisson model (last 10 matches)
Argentina | Austria
Stats based on 6 match(es) for Argentina, 4 match(es) for Austria
Our algorithm gives Argentina as the dominant scenario with 62.52% probability. Detail: Argentina win 62.52%, draw 19.78%, Austria win 17.7%. Confidence index: 5.3/10.
Our model identifies a value bet on 1 Domicile (odds 1.70), with an edge of +3.7% — the difference between our calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied probability.
Over 2.5 probability: 49.8% / Under 2.5: 50.2%. Expected xG: Argentina 1.84, Austria 0.83.
BTTS Yes: 46.1%. Recent form: Argentina DWDWW, Austria LDLW.
The confidence index (out of 10) measures the quality of cross-referenced statistical signals — Dixon-Coles, ELO and Poisson. A score ≥ 7 indicates strong concordant signals. This match scores 5.3/10.
Statistical data for informational purposes only — no result guaranteed. 18+ · Responsible gambling.
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